Startup Note Interest Rates Track Macro Rates Closely

Startup Note Interest Rates Track Macro Rates Closely

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

April 18, 2024

The median interest rate on convertible notes was 6% from 2019-2021, then rose sharply as the Federal Reserve hiked rates—startup financing terms are more...

LinkedIn: Startup Note Interest Rates Track Macro Rates Closely

For the macro economics nerds in the startup community - turns out our interest rates are just as sensitive as you expected to macro trends.

Took a glance through the data on convertible notes signed between Q1 2022 and Q1 2024 on Carta across all stage, 30,529 notes in all.

As a general rule since 2019, the median interest rate on a convertible note in early-stage startups was 6%. Pre-seed, Series A, Series B, didn't matter - 6% was the standard.

But if you look at the average interest rate since 2022, it has been on a tear. Pre-seed company interest rates on convertible notes are now 7.6% on average. 8.1% for note signed between seed and A rounds, 7.8% between A and B.

These rising averages have finally hit the median as well - across all early-stage 8% is now market.

Now, a few thoughts:

  • Interest rates for pre-seed notes very rarely come into play for real.

  • Startup interest rates are no special snowflakes - the Fed makes a huge difference here as everywhere.

  • The cost of money in late-stage venture has risen precipitously and is even more important given the rising usage of these convertible notes in lieu of priced round bridges or extensions.

Please send all negative feedback and commentary to Jerome Powell directly 😁

#cartadata #interestrates #startups #convertiblenotes #venturecapital ____________________

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Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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