Why 2021 May Be the Worst VC Vintage in Decades

Why 2021 May Be the Worst VC Vintage in Decades

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

June 4, 2026

2021 funds invested at wild valuations, had more investors than ever, then faced rising rates and the AI wave—setting up a historically difficult vintage.

Will the 2021 vintage for VC funds be the worst performing vintage year in the past few decades?

Kinda think so. Here's why:

1) Far more investors than ever... 2) Investing at wild valuations... 3) Just before interest rates changed drastically... 4) and 14 months before AI hit the scene.

Really challenging.

Makes you wonder about today's AI valuations and whether history might rhyme here 🤔

Full data on nearly 3,000 US funds here: https://lnkd.in/emPS4dBJ

LinkedIn: Why 2021 May Be the Worst VC Vintage in Decades
Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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