Which Asset Class Wins Each Year Is Hard to Predict

Which Asset Class Wins Each Year Is Hard to Predict

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

March 29, 2026

From 2013 to 2022, the best-performing asset class switched almost every year—multi-stage VC, buyout, growth equity, and even natural resources each had...

LinkedIn: Which Asset Class Wins Each Year Is Hard to Predict

Which asset class has the best pooled returns by year:

2013: Multi-Stage VC 2014: Late-Stage VC 2015: Growth Equity 2016: Growth Equity 2017: US SMID (small/mid cap growth) 2018: EU Buyout 2019: Late-Stage VC 2020: Natural Resources 2021: ROW Buyout 2022: Late-Stage VC

(data from Hamilton Lane's recent market update report)

Obviously some of the more recent years have much maturing to do before this is concretized. But beyond that, it is difficult to predict which part of private markets will yield the best returns in any given vintage.

Perhaps this is a case study for steady and consistent allocations.

Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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