Will Early Stage Startup Valuations Keep Falling in 2023

Will Early Stage Startup Valuations Keep Falling in 2023

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

June 16, 2023

Nnamdi Iregbulem argues that valuations follow capital flows—and with VC funding still declining, early-stage valuations may have further to fall despite...

LinkedIn: Will Early Stage Startup Valuations Keep Falling in 2023

Big question - will early stage startup valuations keep falling?

Read a fascinating piece by Nnamdi Iregbulem yesterday titled The Shadow Price of Venture Capital. Core argument: given the major decline in venture funding, valuations for startups are still too high and will eventually fall further.

In his words: "Venture valuations are a function of capital flows".

Of course, gotta jump into my Carta data set when I see an well-reasoned argument like this one.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗱𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝗖𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗮 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝘀𝗮𝘆?

The gap between total invested capital and median pre-money valuations is greatest in the earliest stages and narrows considerably in late stage (Series C and beyond, not shown).

My two cents is that valuations are probably unlikely to dramatically decline in the later stages from today - but the earliest part of venture is another story. Will investor optimism and long-term bias overcome the funding gap?

Great piece, be sure to read it (linked in the first comment below)

Whither startups? Let me know what you think!

#cartadata #valuations #fundring #venturecapital #earlystage #latestage

Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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