The Frothy VC Market Is a Concentrated Tiny Slice

The Frothy VC Market Is a Concentrated Tiny Slice

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

October 14, 2025

Investors calling the market frothy are exposed only to the most consensus deals—the actual median market is far more grounded than AI mega-deal headlines...

LinkedIn: The Frothy VC Market Is a Concentrated Tiny Slice

"This is the frothiest market I've ever seen" — every mega-fund VC these days.

Edward Suh is damn right about this contradiction in his full tweet. The frothy market that seems to be guiding all decisions is a concentrated, tiny slice of venture.

His full tweet went on to mention that the investors who are pushing this narrative are not being dishonest — they are just exposed to the most consensus deals on a regular basis.

And where are those deals?

In San Francisco. For AI companies.

Will the best exits come from the middle of this froth? Or will non-consensus deals. end up outperforming?

We'll know in 10 years 🙏

#startups #founders

Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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