SAFE valuation caps

SAFE valuation caps

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

May 1, 2025

SAFE valuation caps tend to rise with round size, cluster on round numbers, and depend more on founder demand than any formula, Carta data shows.

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What should my valuation (cap) be?

It's probably the most common question I get from early-stage founders. And I feel a little bashful when I have to reply, "it kinda depends". Not super helpful.

A couple of general points hold true, however. First, valuation caps tend to rise alongside the round size. This makes sense as you don't want to overdilute the business this early on.

Second, the valuation caps tend to settle on big, round numbers. This is because valuation caps are not valuations. They don't get debated in the same way, the diligence is usually much lower, and the agreement between founders and investors is more about ensuring upside rather than a judgement on the company's actual value.

This simplification in stated figures actually causes more confusion for many since the space is so opaque. You'll hear of founders raising $500K at a $10M cap…or $1M at a $10M cap…or $2.5M at a $10M cap. So what's "market"?

As usual in startups, but more acutely in these early days, it's all about founder demand. If you are a founder in high demand, you can command better terms. If not, you won't.

Unfair? Undoubtedly.

But that's the game today.

Onwards!

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Peter Walker

Carta Insights

Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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