State of Private Markets

State of Private Markets

Author

Peter Walker

|

Read time: 

1 minute

Published date: 

February 19, 2026

Let's take a moment to recap the biggest trends from 2025:

Data Minute: Tender offer volume is skyrocketing - HeaderData Minute: State of Private Markets - Chart

Let's take a moment to recap the biggest trends from 2025:

Defining the AI premium

At every stage from Series A onward, AI startups raised larger rounds and garnered higher valuations than their non-AI counterparts in 2025. At Series A, the median AI valuation was 38% higher than the median non-AI valuation. At Series E+, the AI valuation premium reached 193%.

The Northeast

strikes back

Startups based in the Northeast were responsible for 24.8% of all cash raised on Carta in the U.S. over the course of last year. During Q4, that proportion reached 33.1%, the region's largest market share over the past three years. The West is still clearly the top region for U.S. fundraising, but the Northeast is gaining ground.

Dilution keeps dropping

Over the past year, median dilution on all rounds from seed through Series C has fallen from about 18% to 16%, continuing a years-long trend. Two years ago, median dilution across those stages stood at 19%. The biggest drop-off in 2025 came at Series B, where median dilution fell from about 15% to 12.9%.

Whew, what a year. The full State of Private Markets 2025 report is yours to peruse at your leisure - and fresh 2026 data is not far behind.

Onwards!

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Cheers,

Peter Walker

Carta Insights

Peter Walker
Author: Peter Walker
Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, focused on discovering key data and narratives across the private capital ecosystem. In a former life, he was a marketing executive for a media analytics startup and led the data visualization team at the Covid Tracking Project.

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